Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.013773 14.628841 16.381591 18.427506 20.753184 23.318226 26.366530
2025-03-30 10.518489 12.655737 15.150774 18.288295 22.142052 26.738358 32.661627
2025-04-06 8.536594 10.893500 13.825276 17.761677 22.941470 29.569622 38.765476
2025-04-13 7.118569 9.572096 12.802253 17.403721 23.851201 32.653838 45.735869
2025-04-20 6.273835 8.851866 12.428442 17.812225 25.814690 37.433077 55.876916
2025-04-27 5.623371 8.290308 12.172250 18.321449 27.979049 42.835312 67.945191
2025-05-04 5.020033 7.700761 11.776728 18.541855 29.720444 47.866729 80.397677
2025-05-11 4.397386 6.988765 11.085649 18.177641 30.449109 51.373543 90.979180
2025-05-18 3.894614 6.395081 10.493487 17.871463 31.201187 55.009488 102.464665
2025-05-25 3.480609 5.890855 9.976198 17.605133 31.960135 58.752027 114.857558
2025-06-01 3.149813 5.484759 9.569644 17.467346 32.915383 62.989397 129.048212
2025-06-08 2.876642 5.145163 9.234286 17.405539 33.991781 67.617913 144.975518
2025-06-15 2.709426 4.984897 9.218198 17.979559 36.481528 75.662687 170.430652
2025-06-22 2.494278 4.708723 8.949192 18.012909 37.866297 81.648102 192.632847
2025-06-29 2.256697 4.361036 8.498087 17.605625 38.237758 85.475635 210.576814
2025-07-06 2.061175 4.073702 8.131769 17.324194 38.841119 89.943856 231.234612
2025-07-13 1.956055 3.957988 8.103510 17.781188 41.233228 99.150751 266.857289
2025-07-20 1.867324 3.865843 8.112952 18.324489 43.928998 109.654025 308.938297
2025-07-27 1.762217 3.726334 8.001988 18.568796 45.924858 118.750286 349.428017
2025-08-03 1.623569 3.497823 7.665487 18.219701 46.332382 123.651773 378.400817
2025-08-10 1.502568 3.296016 7.366867 17.923102 46.833179 128.926891 410.115681
2025-08-17 1.395676 3.115304 7.097082 17.662773 47.393423 134.501660 444.508243
2025-08-24 1.306410 2.966503 6.886721 17.529046 48.293335 141.293757 485.253080